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Teams that had to keep winning to reach the NFL playoff bracket will meet when the Pittsburgh Steelers meet the Buffalo Bills in an AFC Wild Card matchup on Monday. The Steelers (10-7), who looked to be all but eliminated, finished the regular season with a flourish, winning their last three games to earn the seventh and final seed in the AFC playoff bracket. The Bills (11-6), who became just the fourth team in NFL history to win a division after they were three games behind with five or fewer to play, rattled off five consecutive wins to overtake Miami to win the AFC East. It was Buffalo's fourth consecutive division title. You can watch the game on CBS and Paramount+.

Kickoff from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y., is set for 4:30 p.m. ET. Buffalo is a 10-point favorite in the latest Steelers vs. Bills odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 38.5. Before you make any Bills vs. Steelers picks, make sure you check out what SportsLine NFL expert R.J. White has to say, given his mastery of picks in games involving the Steelers.

White, a fantasy and gambling editor for CBS Sports, consistently crushes against-the-spread picks and went 535-450-30 on his ATS picks from 2017-22, which returned more than $3,500 to $100 players. He also closed the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 107-80-6 run on his last 193 against-the-spread and total NFL picks, returning more than $1,800 for $100 bettors.

What's more, White is an incredible 64-30-4 on his last 98 picks involving the Steelers for a profit of over $3,000. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, White has set his sights on Steelers vs. Bills and just locked in his picks and NFL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Bills vs. Steelers:

  • Steelers vs. Bills spread: Buffalo -10
  • Steelers vs. Bills over/under: 38.5 points
  • Steelers vs. Bills money line: Pittsburgh +388, Buffalo -522
  • PIT: Steelers are 5-3 against the spread in eight road games this season
  • BUF: Bills are 4-5-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall
  • Steelers vs. Bills picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Steelers vs. Bills live stream: Paramount+ (try for free)

Why the Bills can cover

Defensive end Leonard Floyd led Buffalo with 10.5 sacks, the fourth consecutive season he has had nine or more sacks. He will look for his fifth game in a row at home with a tackle for loss. He has registered nine tackles for loss on the year. He has five career playoff sacks, with a sack in two of his past three postseason games.

The Bills are 6-2 against the spread versus teams like the Steelers that are winning more than 55% of their games. The Bills have covered three of their last five games, including winning by a touchdown as a 2.5-point favorite last week against Miami. See which team to pick here. 

Why the Steelers can cover

Wide receiver Diontae Johnson had his fifth consecutive season with 50-plus catches (51) and fourth career season with five or more receiving touchdowns (5) in 2023. Johnson finished the regular season with a touchdown catch in four of the final six games. He had 10 explosive plays of 20 yards or more and had 261 yards after the catch. Johnson had 50 or more receiving yards in five of six road games, and had a touchdown catch in his last playoff game, which was Jan. 16, 2022, at Kansas City.

Defensively, linebacker Elandon Roberts led the Steelers with 101 tackles in his first season with the team, and recorded his second consecutive 100-tackle season. He played the last three seasons with the Miami Dolphins. He has a tackle for loss in two of his past three games against Buffalo, including the playoffs. Roberts has registered 34 tackles in 11 career playoff games, and in 123 regular-season games has 558 tackles, including 330 solo. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Bills vs. Steelers picks

White has analyzed this matchup and is leaning Under the point total, but he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.

Who wins Bills vs. Steelers in Monday's AFC Wild-Card matchup, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bills vs. Steelers spread to back, all from the expert on a 64-30 roll on picks involving Pittsburgh, and find out.